April 12, 2022

ADHD is underdiagnosed, to varying degrees, among adults of different ethnicities, ages, and education levels in the U.S.

A cohort study looked at over five million adults and over 850,000 children between the ages of five and eleven who received care at Kaiser Permanente Northern California during the ten-year period from the beginning of 2007 through the end of 2016. At any given time, KPNC serves roughly four million persons. It is representative of the population of the region, except for the highest and lowest income strata.

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‍ADHD Diagnosis Rates:

  • Adults: Diagnosis rates rose from 0.43% in 2007 to 0.96% in 2016.
  • Children: Diagnosis rates went up from 2.96% to 3.74%, nearly four times higher than in adults.

Diagnosis Rates by Ethnicity:

  • Non-Hispanic whites had the highest adult diagnosis rates, increasing from 0.67% to 1.42%.
  • American Indian/Alaska Native (AIAN): Rates grew from 0.56% to 1.14%.
  • Black and Hispanic adults had similar rates: Black adults increased from 0.22% to 0.69%, and Hispanic adults rose from 0.25% to 0.65%.
  • Asian adults had the lowest rates (0.11% to 0.35%), followed by Native Hawaiian/Pacific Islanders (0.11% to 0.39%).

ADHD Diagnosis and Age:

The likelihood of being diagnosed with ADHD dropped sharply with age.

(When compared to 18-24-year-olds):

  • 25-34-year-olds were 16% less likely.
  • 35-44-year-olds were 33% less likely.
  • 45-54-year-olds were less than half as likely.
  • 55-64-year-olds were less than a quarter as likely.
  • Adults over 65 were about 5% as likely.

This matches findings from other studies showing that ADHD diagnoses become less common with age.

‍Other Factors:

  • Adults with higher education levels were twice as likely to be diagnosed as those with less education.
  • Household income had little effect on diagnosis rates.
  • Women were slightly less likely to be diagnosed than men.

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ADHD and Comorbidity:

Adults with ADHD were more likely to have other mental health conditions:

  • Eating disorders: 5 times more likely.
  • Bipolar disorder or depression: Over 4 times more likely.
  • Anxiety: More than twice as likely.
  • Substance abuse: Slightly more likely.

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Key Findings:
  1. Rising ADHD Diagnosis Rates: The increase in diagnoses may be due to better recognition of ADHD by doctors and greater public awareness during the study period.
  2. Differences by Ethnicity: The differences in diagnosis rates by ethnicity could be related to access to healthcare, cultural attitudes toward mental health, or even attempts to obtain ADHD medications for non-medical reasons, which may be more common among white patients.
Conclusion:

The authors speculate that rising rates of diagnosis “could reflect increasing recognition of ADHD in adults by physicians and other clinicians as well as growing public awareness of ADHD during the decade under study.” Turning to the notable differences by ethnicity, they note, “Racial/ethnic differences could also reflect differential rates of treatment-seeking or access to care. … Racial/ethnic background is known to play an important role in opinions on mental health services, health care utilization, and physician preferences. In addition, rates of diagnosis- seeking to obtain stimulant medication for non-medical use may be more common among white vs nonwhite patients.” They conclude, “greater consideration must be placed on cultural influences on health care seeking and delivery, along with an increased understanding of the various social, psychological, and biological differences among races/ethnicities as well as culturally sensitive approaches to identify and treat ADHD in the total population.”

The study highlights that many cases of adult ADHD go undiagnosed. Research shows about 3% of adults worldwide have ADHD, but this study found that less than 1% are diagnosed by doctors. This points to the need for better training for clinicians to recognize, diagnose, and treat ADHD in adults. It also emphasizes the importance of understanding cultural factors that affect how people seek and receive care.

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Winston Chung, MD, MS; Sheng-Fang Jiang, MS; Diana Paksarian, MPH, PhD; Aki Nikolaidis, PhD; F. Xavier Castellanos, MD; Kathleen R. Merikangas, PhD; Michael P. Milham, MD, PhD, “Trends in the Prevalence and Incidence of Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder Among Adults and Children of Different Racial and Ethnic Groups,” JAMA Network Open (2019) 2(11): e1914344. DOI:10.1521/adhd.2019.27.4.8.

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Variations in Diagnosis

Variations in Diagnosis

A cohort study looked at over five million adults, and over 850,000 children between the ages of five and eleven, who received care at Kaiser Permanente Northern California during the ten-year period from the beginning of 2007 through the end of 2016. At any given time, KPNC serves roughly four million persons. It is representative of the population of the region, except for the highest and lowest income strata.

Among adults rates of ADHD diagnosis rose from 0.43% to 0.96%. Among children the diagnosis rates rose from 2.96% to 3.74%, ending up almost four times as high as for adults.

Non-Hispanic whites had the highest adult rates throughout, increasing from 0.67% in 2007 to 1.42% in 2016. American Indian or Alaska Native (AIAN) had the second highest rates, rising from 0.56% to 1.14%. Blacks and Hispanics had roughly comparable rates of diagnosis, the former rising from 0.22% to 0.69%, the latter from 0.25% to 0.65%. The lowest rates were among Asians (rising from 0.11% to 0.35%) and Native Hawaiian or other Pacific Islanders (increasing from 0.11% to 0.39%).

Odds of diagnosis dropped steeply with age among adults. Relative to 18-24-year-olds, 25-34-year-olds were 1/6th less likely to be diagnosed with ADHD, 35-44-year-olds 1/3rd less likely, 45-54-year-olds less than half as likely, 55-64-year-olds less than a quarter as likely, and those over 65 about a twentieth as likely. This is consistent with other studies reporting and age dependent decline in the diagnosis.

Adults with the highest levels of education were twice as likely to be diagnosed as those with the lowest levels. But variations in median household income had almost no effect. Women were marginally less likely to be diagnosed than men.

ADHD is associated with some other psychiatric disorders. Compared with normally developing adults, and adjusted for confounders, those with ADHD were five times as likely to have an eating disorder, over four times as likely to be diagnosed with bipolar disorder or depression, more than twice as likely to suffer from anxiety, but only slightly more likely to abuse drugs or alcohol.

The authors speculate that rising rates of diagnosis could reflect increasing recognition of ADHD in adults by physicians and other clinicians as well as growing public awareness of ADHD during the decade under study. Turning to the strong differences among ethnicities, they note, Racial/ethnic differences could also reflect differential rates of treatment seeking or access to care. Racial/ethnic background is known to play an important role in opinions on mental health services, health care utilization, and physician preferences. In addition, rates of diagnosis- seeking to obtain stimulant medication for nonmedical use may be more common among white vs nonwhite patients. They conclude, greater consideration must be placed on cultural influences on health care seeking and delivery, along with an increased understanding of the various social, psychological, and biological differences among races/ethnicities as well as culturally sensitive approaches to identify and treat ADHD in the total population.

But the main take home message of this work is that most cases of ADHD in adults are not being diagnosed by clinicians. We know from population studies, worldwide, that about three percent of adults suffer from the disorder. This study found that less than 1 percent are diagnosed by their doctors. Clearly, more education is needed to teach clinicians how to identify, diagnose and treat ADHD in adults.

December 18, 2023

Inequities in ADHD diagnosis in the United States

Inequities in ADHD diagnosis in the United States

A transcontinental study team (California, Texas, Florida) used a nationally representative sample – the 2018 National Survey of Children’s Health – to query 26,205 caregivers of youth aged 3 to 17 years old to explore inequities in ADHD diagnosis.  

With increasing accessibility of the internet in the U.S., more than 80% of adults now search for health information online. Recognizing that search engine data could help clarify patterns of inequity, the team also consulted Google Trends.

The team noted at the outset that “[d]ocumenting the true prevalence of ADHD remains challenging in light of problems of overdiagnosis (e.g., following quick screening rather than full evaluation incorporating multi-informant and multi-method data given limited resources) and underdiagnosis (e.g., reflecting inequities in healthcare and education systems).” Underdiagnosis is known to be influenced by lack or inadequacy of health insurance, inadequate public health funding, stigma, sociocultural expectations in some ethnic groups, and structural racism, among other factors.

After controlling for poverty status, highest education in household, child’s sex, and child’s age, the team reported that Black youth were a quarter (22%) less likely to receive ADHD diagnoses than their white peers. Latino/Hispanic youth were a third (32%) less likely and Asian youth three-quarters (73%) less likely to receive ADHD diagnoses than their white peers.

The team also found that state-level online search interest in ADHD was positively associated with ADHD diagnoses, after controlling for race/ethnicity, poverty status, highest education in household, child’s sex, and child’s age. However, the odds ratio was low (1.01), “suggesting the need for additional evaluation.” Furthermore, “There was no interaction between individual-level racial/ethnic background and state-level information-seeking patterns. … the state-level online information-seeking variation did not affect the odds that youth of color would have a current ADHD diagnosis over and above other included characteristics.” 

That could be due in part to the gap in high-speed broadband access between Black and Hispanic in contrast to white populations, but that would not explain the even larger gaps in diagnosis for Asian youth, who tend to come from more prosperous backgrounds.

The team concluded, “Persistent racial/ethnic inequities warrant systematic changes in policy and clinical care that can attend to the needs of underserved communities. The digital divide adds complexity to persistent racial/ethnic and socioeconomic inequities in ADHD diagnosis …”

Using Video Analysis and Machine Learning in ADHD Diagnosis

NEWS TUESDAY: Machine Learning and The Possible Future of Diagnosing ADHD

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Typically, clinicians rely on both subjective and objective observations, patient interviews and questionnaires, as well as reports from family and (in the case of children) parents and teachers, in order to diagnose ADHD. 

A group of researchers are aiming to find a diagnostic test that is purely objective and utilizes recent technological advancements. The method they developed involves analyzing videos of children in outpatient settings, focusing on their movements. The study included 96 children, half of whom had ADHD and half who did not.

How It Works

  1. Video Recording: Children were recorded during their outpatient visits.
  2. Skeleton Detection: Using a tool called OpenPose, the researchers detected and tracked the children's skeletons (essentially a map of their body's movements) in the videos.
  3. Movement Analysis: The researchers analyzed these movements, looking at 11 different movement features. They specifically focused on the angles of different body parts and how much they moved.
  4. Machine Learning: Six different machine learning models were used to see which movement features could best distinguish between children with ADHD and those without.

Key Findings

  • Movement Differences: Children with ADHD showed significantly more movement in all the features analyzed compared to children without ADHD.
  • Thigh Angle: The angle of the thigh was the most telling feature. On average, children with ADHD had a thigh angle of about 157.89 degrees, while those without ADHD had an angle of 15.37 degrees.
  • High Accuracy: Using thigh angle alone, the model could diagnose ADHD with 91.03% accuracy. It was very sensitive (90.25%) and specific (91.86%), meaning it correctly identified most children with ADHD and correctly recognized most children without it.

This new method could potentially provide a more objective way to diagnose ADHD, reducing the reliance on subjective observations and reports. It can help doctors make more accurate diagnoses, ensuring that those who need help get it and that those who don't aren't misdiagnosed.

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May 28, 2024

Nationwide Population Study Reports Increased Risk of Hospitalization for Psychosis or Mania Following Initiation of ADHD Medication

Background:

In Iceland, treatment with ADHD medication can only be initiated by psychiatrists or pediatricians with experience in diagnosing neurodevelopmental disorders. The diagnostic evaluation is most often carried out by a psychologist or psychiatrist, and must be confirmed by a psychiatrist. 

Some previous studies have suggested a small but significant increased risk of psychosis or mania associated with ADHD medication, while others have not. 

Iceland has a single-payer national healthcare insurance system that tracks virtually its entire population. An Icelandic research team accessed two administrative databases with nationwide coverage – the Icelandic Prescription Medicines Register and the Icelandic Hospital Discharge Register – to explore this relationship among all adults from 2010 through 2022. 

They included three categories of ADHD medications prescribed in Iceland: amphetamines, including dexamphetamine and lisdexamphetamine; methylphenidate; and atomoxetine. In Iceland, methylphenidate or atomoxetine must be prescribed and tried first before switching to lisdexamphetamine or dexamphetamine. 

Method:

Diagnoses of mania or psychosis recorded in electronic health records were used to identify individuals who were admitted to a psychiatric ward within one year of starting treatment with a specific class of ADHD medication. First-onset psychosis or mania was defined as the emergence of these conditions in individuals with no prior history, diagnosis, or hospitalization for psychosis or mania. 

A total of 16,125 adults began using an ADHD medication for the first time during the 13-year study period. 

Methylphenidate was the most used ADHD medication among those admitted for psychosis or mania (25 out of 61; 41%), reflecting its status as the most frequently prescribed stimulant during the study period. It was followed by amphetamines (21 out of 61; 34.4%) and atomoxetine (15 out of 61; 24.6%). 

Half of those hospitalized had previously received a diagnosis of substance use disorder. One in nine (11%) of those hospitalized acknowledged misuse of the type of ADHD medication they had been prescribed. 

Within a year of discharge, 42 out of the 61 patients (68.9%) had been prescribed an ADHD medication again. Among those, one in four (11 out of 42; 26%) were readmitted for psychosis or mania within the following year.  

The team noted, “It is concerning that most patients (68.9%) in our study resumed ADHD drug treatment within a year of hospital discharge … However, some studies have reported that the use of psychostimulants or atomoxetine to treat ADHD in individuals with psychotic disorders did not increase the risk of hospitalisation for psychosis if used concurrently with antipsychotic medication or that such use might even reduce this risk.”  

Findings: 

By comparison with the general population, adults initiating ADHD medications had eight times the relative risk of being admitted for psychosis or mania within the first year.  

The absolute risk was low: 0.38% overall for those initiating ADHD medication.  Adjusting for the general population risk of hospitalization for first-onset psychosis or mania, more than 300 patients would need to be initiated to ADHD medication to generate one hospital admission for psychosis or mania. 

The team conceded, “Confounders of real-life clinical settings, such as non-disclosed ADHD drug abuse or misuse or some degree of substance abuse, may have influenced our findings.” 

A further, unmentioned, limitation is that the team did not perform any of the usual adjustments for confounding variables, critically including co-occurring (comorbid) psychiatric disorders known to be common with ADHD, and likely to have a major effect on the relative risk of hospitalization. 

Given the very small increase in risk along with the methodological flaws, the team’s suggestion of a “potential causal role of ADHD drugs in the development of first-onset psychosis or mania” is unsubstantiated and speculative.  This is especially so given other studies suggesting no increased risk for psychosis due to these medications.  

In any event, causation cannot be established through observational studies.

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June 19, 2025

Study Finds Association Between Childhood ADHD and Poor Dental Health

The Spanish National Health Survey tracks health care outcomes through representative samples of the Spanish population. 

A Spanish research team used survey data to explore the relationship between ADHD symptoms and dental and gum health in a representative sample of 3,402 Spanish children aged 6 to 14.

While previous studies have found associations between ADHD and poor dental health, they have not fully accounted for such important determinants of poor oral health as socioeconomic status, dental hygiene, or diet. 

The team therefore adjusted for sociodemographic factors, lifestyle variables, and oral hygiene behaviors. More specifically, they adjusted for sex, age, social class, parental education, exposure to tobacco smoke, consumption of sweets, consumption of sugary drinks, use of asthma or allergy medication, adequate oral hygiene behavior of children, adherence to regular dental visits, parental adequate oral hygiene behavior, and parental adherence to regular dental visits.

With those adjustments, children with ADHD symptoms had over twice the incidence of dental caries (cavities) as their counterparts without ADHD symptoms.

Tooth extractions and dental restorations also occurred with over 40% greater frequency in children with ADHD symptoms.

Gum bleeding, a sign of gum disease, was more than 60% more common among children with ADHD symptoms than among their non-ADHD peers.

Importantly, excluding children with daily sugar consumption, which left 1,693 children in the sample, made no difference in the outcome for cavities.

Excluding children with poor oral hygiene habits, which left 1,657 children in the sample, those with ADHD had 2.5-fold more caries than their non-ADHD counterparts.

Excluding children of low social class, which left 1,827 children in the sample, those with ADHD had 2.6-fold more caries than their non-ADHD counterparts.

Turning to a different method to address potential confounding factors, the team used nearest-neighbor propensity score matching to create virtual controls. This compared 461 children with ADHD to 461 carefully matched children without ADHD.

This time, children with ADHD symptoms had just under twice the incidence of cavities as their counterparts without ADHD symptoms, but 60% more tooth extractions and about 75% more dental restorations. The difference in gum bleeding became nonsignificant.

Noting that “The increased risk of caries was maintained when the analyses were restricted to middle/high social class families and children with low sugar intake, good oral hygiene behaviors and regular dental visits,” the team concluded, “Children with ADHD symptoms in Spain had worse oral health indicators than those without ADHD symptoms. Our results suggest that the association of ADHD symptoms with caries was independent of socioeconomic level, cariogenic diet, frequency of toothbrushing, and dental visits.”

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June 13, 2025

A Lesson in Correlation Versus Causation : Maternal Smoking and ADHD Risk in Children

Meta-analysis Finds Strong Link Between Maternal Smoking During Pregnancy and Increased Risk of ADHD in Children

This new meta-analysis confirms what other meta-analysis have already shown, i.e, that there exists in the population an association between maternal smoking during pregnancy and ADHD in their offspring.  But reader beware, association does not mean causation.

The team identified 55 studies with quantitative data suitable for meta-analysis, including 11 case-control, 13 cross-sectional, and 31 retrospective/prospective cohort studies. 

Altogether they combined more than four million persons in countries spanning six continents, including the United States, Finland, Sweden, Brazil, the Netherlands, Japan, the UK, Spain, China, Australia, New Zealand, Norway, Canada, France, Sweden, South Korea, Turkey, Romania, Bulgaria, Lithuania, Germany, Denmark, Egypt, and India.

Meta-analysis of all 55 studies found that offspring of mothers who smoked tobacco during pregnancy were about 70% more likely to develop ADHD than offspring of mothers who did not smoke during pregnancy.

Because variation in outcomes across studies was very high, the team performed subgroup analyses to explore potential sources of this heterogeneity. 

Comparing study designs, cohort studies reported roughly 50% greater odds of ADHD among children of mothers who smoked during pregnancy, whereas case-control studies reported roughly 70% greater odds and cross-sectional studies 2.3-fold greater odds.

Studies using the most reliable method of determining ADHD – clinical interview/professional diagnosis – reported 90% greater odds, contrasting with 66% through medical records/databases and 58% through self-report by child/parent or through teacher report.

Good quality studies reported roughly 75% greater odds. 

Studies with sample sizes above two thousand similarly found 70% greater odds.

There was no sign of publication bias using the more commonly used Egger’s test, but a marginal indication of publication bias using Begg’s test. Performing a standard correction reduced the effect size, indicating that the offspring of mothers who smoked tobacco during pregnancy were over 50% more likely to develop ADHD than the offspring of mothers who did not smoke during pregnancy.

The team concluded, “This systematic review and meta-analysis of 55 studies, encompassing over four million participants, provides compelling evidence that maternal tobacco smoking during pregnancy significantly increases the odds of ADHD in children … These findings underscore the critical need for public health interventions aimed at reducing tobacco smoking during pregnancy.”

However, we disagree with this conclusion; The authors ignore substantial evidence showing that maternal smoking during pregnancy is confounded by maternal ADHD. These mothers transmit ADHD via genetics, not via their smoking. This study should be seen not as "...[further evidence that smoking during pregnancy causes ADHD.] ", but as a lesson in how easy it can be to see correlation as causation.

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June 10, 2025

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